FINAL AGENDA
Fifteenth Army Conference on Applied Statistics
Hosted by ASU and Sponsored by the Interface Cooperating Organizations: Raytheon, ARO Monday, October 19
0800 – 0830 Registration (MU 228 Cochise) 0830 – 1200 Tutorial Categorical Data Analysis Brian Marx, Louisiana State University
1200 – 1300 Lunch 1300 – 1600 Tutorial --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Tuesday, October 20 0830 – 1200 Tutorial (MU 085 Union Stage) Categorical Data Analysis Brian Marx, Louisiana State University
1200 – 1300 Lunch 1300 – 1600 Tutorial 1830 – Social and Registration (MU 201A Starlight Terrace) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Wednesday, October 21
0745 – 0815 Registration (MU 220 Turquoise) 0815 – 0830 Call to Order (MU 230 Pima)
Barry Bodt, Conference Chair, U.S. Army Research Laboratory
Douglas C. Montgomery, Professor of Industrial & Management Systems
Wednesday, October 21 (continued)
0830 – 0915 General Session I (Keynote Address) (MU 230 Pima)
Chair: Karen Kafadar, Indiana University
Combinatorial Stochastic Processes and Bayesian Nonparametrics Michael Jordan, UC Berkeley
0915 – 0930 Break 0930 – 1100 Special Session I (Text and Data Mining with Applications) (MU 230 Pima)
Organizers: Edward J. Wegman and Yasmin Said, George Mason University Chair: Edward J. Wegman, George Mason University
Text Data Mining for Better Understanding of the Science and Technology Landscape
Solka, Nick Tucey* and Avory Bryant, Naval Surface Warfare CenterFeature Selection for Complex Systems
George Runger, Arizona State University and Eugene Tuv, Intel Corporation
Approaches to Text Mining that Preserve Semantic Content
1100 – 1115 Break 1115 – 1215 Contributed Session I (Parallel Session) (MU 220 Turquoise)
Graph Theoretical Methods for Cluster Verification Bernard Harris, University of Wisconsin-Madison
Image Fusion and the Method of Paired Comparisons: Experiments, Evaluation, and
Murray Loew, George Washington University, & James Bonick and Clarence Walters,
U.S. Army Night Vision and Electronic Sensors Directorate, Ft. Belvoir
1115 – 1215 Contributed Session II (Parallel Session) (MU 230 Pima)
Chair: Wei-Yin Loh, University of Wisconsin-Madison Comparison of Prediction Accuracy of Surrogate Models Developed Using Nested Latin Hypercube Designs - "How Many Simulation Experiments Do I Need to Run?" Tom Donnelly, SAS Institute Inc.
Wednesday, October 21 (continued) Regression-Based Inverse Distance Weighting with Applications to Computer Experiments V. Roshan Joseph and Lulu Kang (presenter), Georgia Institute of Tech.
1215 – 1315 Lunch 1315 – 1445 Special Session II (Army Challenges for Statistics) (MU 230 Pima)
Organizers: COL Andrew Glen and COL Rodney Sturdivant, United States Military Academy Chair: COL Rodney Sturdivant, United States Military Academy An Accumulate-toward-the-Mode Approach to Confidence Intervals and Hypothesis Tests and an Application to Binomially Distributed Data Dwayne Nuzman, U.S. Army Materiel Systems Analysis Activity Confidence Interval Methodology for Ratio Means (CIM4RM) John Nierwinski, Jr., U.S. Army Materiel Systems Analysis Activity Periodic Spatio-Temporal Improvised Explosive Device Attack Pattern Analysis MAJ Matthew Benigni, United States Military Academy and Reinhard Furrer, Colorado School of Mines
1445 – 1500 Break 1500 – 1630 Contributed Session III (Parallel Session) (MU 220 Turquoise)
Chair: Art Fries, Institute for Defense Analyses
The Joint Signature of Systems with Shared Components Francisco J. Samaniego, UC Davis Overview of Modeling and Analyzing Complex System Reliability Using the Los Alamos Developed Software Tool, SRFYDO Christine M. Anderson-Cook, Los Alamos National Laboratory Bayesian Reliability Analysis: The Concept of Borrowing Power David King, Charles A. Pace, and Allan T. Mense (Raytheon Missile Systems), Gary Glover and Benny Phillips (Tinker Air Force Base) Bayesian Reliability Analysis: A Tool for the Analyst Allan T. Mense, David King, and Charles A. Pace (Raytheon Missile Systems), Benny Phillips and Garry Glover (Tinker Air Force Base)
Wednesday, October 21 (continued) 1500 – 1630 Contributed Session IV (Parallel Session) (MU 230 Pima)
Chair: Lee Dewald, Virginia Military Institute
An Approach to Corroborating the Impact of Recruit Quality and Recruiting Mission on Resource Requirements Robert Clemence, Jeremy Heusner, Robert Love, Raissa Nourieva, and Meredith Sachs, Booz Allen Hamilton, Inc.
Assessing Management and Statistical Risks in the OCONUS Immersion Experiment with Variations of Cohen’s d (effect size) as a Tool for Decision-making Raymond T. Mirikitani, Defense Language Institute Mine Clearing Efficiency Analysis Rebecca E. Wentz, U.S. Army Materiel Systems Analysis Activity
1830 -- 2100 Wilks Award Banquet (MU 241A Ventana)
1830 – Social 1930 – Dinner 2015 – Banquet Address
Sarah Braden, ASU, School of Earth and Space Exploration
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Thursday, October 22 0830 – 0915 General Session II (MU 220 Turquoise)
Chair: COL Andrew Glen Graphical Data Explorations of Very Large Databases: the ASA Data Expo 2009 Heike Hofmann, Iowa State University
0915 – 0930 Break 0930 – 1100 Contributed V (Parallel Session) (MU 220 Turquoise)
Chair: Allan Mense, Raytheon Missile Systems Robust Estimation of Mixtures of Heavy-tailed Distributions A. M. Santos, IBM and UC-Denver and Karen Kafadar, Indiana University Information Exchange Between Complex Networks Bruce J. West, U.S. Army Research Office
Thursday, October 22 (continued)
Optimizing Computer Networks for Robustness and Efficiency Edward J. Wegman (George Mason), Hadi Rezazad (Orchidtech Technology and Management), and Roger W. Shores (U.S. Census Bureau)
0930 – 1100 Contributed VI (Parallel Session) (MU 202 Alumni Lounge)
Chair: Paul Deason, TRAC-WSMR (retired)
G.S. Ladde and Ling Wu, University of South Florida
Extracting Symbols from Blueprints
Richard Warren and Robert S. Woodley, Century Systems, Inc.
A Control-Stopping Differential Game for Stochastic Systems with Memory
Mou-Hsiung (Harry) Chang, U.S. Army Research Office
1100 – 1115 Break 1115 – 1215 Contributed VII (Parallel Session) (MU 220 Turquoise)
Statistical Issues in the Comparison of Multi-dimensional ProfilesConditional Logistic Modeling for Unbalanced Nested Case Control Studies with Bias
Yuanzhang Li, David Cowan, Natalya Weber, and David Niebuhr, Walter Reed Army
Institute of Research, and Robert Yolken Johns Hopkins University
1115 – 1215 Contributed VIII (Parallel Session) (MU 202 Alumni Lounge)
Chair: David Cruess, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences
General Orthogonal Solutions in Multivariate Regression
Jerry Alderman and William C. Thomas, Raytheon Missile Systems
Variable Selection in Nonparametric Regression with Very Many Noise Variables
Wei-Yin Loh, University of Wisconsin-Madison
Thursday, October 22 (continued)
1315 – 1415 Contributed IX (Parallel Session) (MU 220 Turquoise)
Chair: Charles White, Walter Reed Army Institute of Research
Power Electronics System Compatibility Assessment using Statistical Design Methods Sydney Lofton and William C. Thomas, Raytheon Missile Systems A Computer-Aided D-Optimal Design for Improving Ballistic Performance David W. Webb and Brian M. Powers, U.S. Army Research Laboratory
1315 – 1415 Contributed X (Parallel Session) (MU 202 Alumni Lounge)
Chair: Mou-Hsiung (Harry) Chang, U.S. Army Research Office Length Bias in the Measurements of Carbon Nanotubes Paul Kvam, Georgia Tech Laser Scanner Certification Study for Body Armor Back Face Deformation Measurement Barbara J. Gillich, W. Scott Walton, Craig Miser, Adam Fournier, Jeffrey Hosto, Jeffrey Huber, Ward Boughers, and Craig Andres, Aberdeen Test Center
1415 – 1430 Break 1430 – 1600 Special Session III (MU 220 Turquoise)
Organizers: Edward J. Wegman and Yasmin Said, George Mason University Chair: Yasmin Said, George Mason University
Beyond Correlation: Examining Causality with Agent-based Hypothesis InstantiationMeasures of Tipping Points, Robustness, and Path Dependence
Aaron Bramson, University of MichiganCombining ABM and Behavioral Experiments ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Friday, October 23
0830 – 0915 General Session III (MU 230 Pima)
Chair: Barry Bodt, U.S. Army Research Laboratory
Modern Experimental Design Methods
Douglas C. Montgomery, Arizona State University
0915 – 0930 Break
0930 – 1030 Contributed Session XI (MU 230 Pima)
Chair: David Webb, U.S. Army Research Laboratory
Predicting Linguists’ Training Outcomes with Linear Regression Models Constructed Using a Single and Double Cross-validation Design Raymond T. Mirikitani, Defense Language Institute Oh Say Can You GEE: Analysis of Visual Acuity Data Robyn Lee, Brian Hatch, David Hilber, James Elledge, and James Stout , US Army Center for Health Promotion and Preventive Medicine
1030 – 1045 Break 1045 – 1130 General Session IV (MU 230 Pima)
Chair: Robyn Lee, Center for Health Promotion and Preventive Medicine
Spinning Heads and Spinning News: the Use and Abuse of Statistics in the Media
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