## Cmbx12

4.3.1 Estimating the Width of a Room Revised
The unconditional analysis of the room width estimated by two groups ofstudents in Chapter˜3 led to the conclusion that the estimates in metres areslightly larger than the estimates in feet. Here, we reanalyse these data in aconditional framework. First, we convert metres into feet and store the vectorof observations in a variable y:
R> data("roomwidth", package = "HSAUR2")R> convert <- ifelse(roomwidth$unit == "feet", 1, 3.28)R> feet <- roomwidth$unit == "feet"R> metre <- !feetR> y <- roomwidth$width * convert
The test statistic is simply the difference in means
R> T <- mean(y[feet]) - mean(y[metre])R> T
In order to approximate the conditional distribution of the test statistic Twe compute 9999 test statistics for shuffled y values. A permutation of the yvector can be obtained from the sample function.

R> meandiffs <- double(9999)R> for (i in 1:length(meandiffs)) {+
meandiffs[i] <- mean(sy[feet]) - mean(sy[metre])
The distribution of the test statistic T under the null hypothesis of indepen-dence of room width estimates and groups is depicted in FigureNow, thevalue of the test statistic T for the original unshuffled data can be compared
R> hist(meandiffs)R> abline(v = T, lty = 2)R> abline(v = -T, lty = 2)

**Histogram of meandiffs**
An approximation for the conditional distribution of the difference ofmean roomwidth estimates in the feet and metres group under the nullhypothesis. The vertical lines show the negative and positive absolutevalue of the test statistic T obtained from the original data.

with the distribution of T under the null hypothesis (the vertical lines in Fig-ure. The p-value, i.e., the proportion of test statistics T larger than 8.859or smaller than -8.859, is
R> greater <- abs(meandiffs) > abs(T)R> mean(greater)
R> binom.test(sum(greater), length(greater))$conf.int
Note that the approximated conditional p-value is roughly the same as thep-value reported by the t-test in Chapter˜3.

R> library("coin")R> independence_test(y ~ unit, data = roomwidth,+
R output of the exact permutation test applied to the roomwidth data.

R> wilcox_test(y ~ unit, data = roomwidth,+

*Exact Wilcoxon Mann-Whitney Rank Sum Test*
*alternative hypothesis: true mu is not equal to 0*
R output of the exact conditional Wilcoxon rank sum test applied tothe roomwidth data.

Here we are interested in the comparison of two groups of patients, where onegroup received a placebo and the other one Misoprostol. In the trials shownhere, the response variable is measured on an ordered scale – see Table˜??.

Data from four clinical studies are available and thus the observations arenaturally grouped together. From the data.frame Lanza we can construct athree-way table as follows:
R> data("Lanza", package = "HSAUR2")R> xtabs(~ treatment + classification + study, data = Lanza)
R> data("suicides", package = "HSAUR2")R> fisher.test(suicides)

*Fisher's Exact Test for Count Data*
*alternative hypothesis: true odds ratio is not equal to 1*
R output of Fisher’s exact test for the suicides data.

For the first study, the null hypothesis of independence of treatment and
gastrointestinal damage, i.e., of no treatment effect of Misoprostol, is testedby
R> library("coin")R> cmh_test(classification ~ treatment, data = Lanza,+
scores = list(classification = c(0, 1, 6, 17, 30)),

*Asymptotic Linear-by-Linear Association Test*
*classification (ordered) by treatment (Misoprostol, Placebo)*
*chi-squared = 28.8, df = 1, p-value = 7.83e-08*
and, by default, the conditional distribution is approximated by the corre-sponding limiting distribution. The p-value indicates a strong treatment effect.

For the second study, the asymptotic p-value is a little bit larger:
R> cmh_test(classification ~ treatment, data = Lanza,+
scores = list(classification = c(0, 1, 6, 17, 30)),

*Asymptotic Linear-by-Linear Association Test*
*classification (ordered) by treatment (Misoprostol, Placebo)*
*chi-squared = 12.1, df = 1, p-value = 0.000514*
and we make sure that the implied decision is correct by calculating a confi-dence interval for the exact p-value:
R> p <- cmh_test(classification ~ treatment, data = Lanza,+
scores = list(classification = c(0, 1, 6, 17, 30)),
subset = Lanza$study == "II", distribution =
The third and fourth study indicate a strong treatment effect as well:
R> cmh_test(classification ~ treatment, data = Lanza,+
scores = list(classification = c(0, 1, 6, 17, 30)),

*Asymptotic Linear-by-Linear Association Test*
*classification (ordered) by treatment (Misoprostol, Placebo)*
*chi-squared = 28.2, df = 1, p-value = 1.118e-07*
R> cmh_test(classification ~ treatment, data = Lanza,+
scores = list(classification = c(0, 1, 6, 17, 30)),

*Asymptotic Linear-by-Linear Association Test*
*classification (ordered) by treatment (Misoprostol, Placebo)*
*chi-squared = 15.7, df = 1, p-value = 7.262e-05*
At the end, a separate analysis for each study is unsatisfactory. Because the
design of the four studies is the same, we can use study as a block variableand perform a global linear-association test investigating the treatment effectof Misoprostol in all four studies. The block variable can be incorporated intothe formula by the | symbol.

R> cmh_test(classification ~ treatment | study, data = Lanza,+
scores = list(classification = c(0, 1, 6, 17, 30)))

*Asymptotic Linear-by-Linear Association Test*
*chi-squared = 83.6, df = 1, p-value < 2.2e-16*
Based on this result, a strong treatment effect can be established.

In this example, the medical doctor (MD) and the research assistant (RA)assessed the number of anomalies (0, 1, 2 or 3) for each of 395 babies:
R> anomalies <- c(235, 23, 3, 0, 41, 35, 8, 0,+
R> anomalies <- as.table(matrix(anomalies,+
ncol = 4, dimnames = list(MD = 0:3, RA = 0:3)))
We are interested in testing whether the number of anomalies assessed by themedical doctor differs structurally from the number reported by the researchassistant. Because we compare paired observations, i.e., one pair of measure-ments for each newborn, a test of marginal homogeneity (a generalisation ofMcNemar’s test, Chapter˜3) needs to be applied:

*Asymptotic Marginal-Homogeneity Test*
*chi-squared = 21.2, df = 3, p-value = 9.446e-05*
The p-value indicates a deviation from the null hypothesis. However, the levelsof the response are not treated as ordered. Similar to the analysis of thegastrointestinal damage data above, we can take this information into accountby the definition of an appropriate score. Here, the number of anomalies is anatural choice:
R> mh_test(anomalies, scores = list(c(0, 1, 2, 3)))

*Asymptotic Marginal-Homogeneity Test for Ordered Data*
*chi-squared = 21, df = 1, p-value = 4.545e-06*
In our case, both versions coincide and one can conclude that the assessment ofthe number of anomalies differs between the medical doctor and the researchassistant.

Source: http://cran.icesi.edu.co/CRAN/web/packages/HSAUR2/vignettes/Ch_conditional_inference.pdf

Keeping track of pieces in Invisible ChessMonash University, Clayton 3800, AustraliaAbstract. Invisible Chess ([1],[2],[3]) is a variation of Chess where someof the pieces are invisible to the opponent. It is related to Kriegspiel [4]where all the pieces are invisible. However, in the variant of InvisibleChess that we investigated in this paper there are some significant dif-ferences in the rule

Elizabeth Ann Becker Psychology, 220 Post Hall, Philadelphia, PA 19131 Tel:(610)660-2894 * Email: ebecker@sju.edu ________________________________________________________ EDUCATION Ph.D. University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI Delta Certificate in Research, Teaching and Learning University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI B.A., June 2005. Lawrence University, Appleton, WI B.M.